
Academy Sports Outdoors Inc
Consumer Discretionary · USD
Price
$58.03
Cap
$3.8B
Earnings
1/4 beat
30d Trend
+1%
Near 52-week highs — limited upside before resistance
Target range: $50.5 – $73.5 (consensus: $61.14)
Consensus: Hold
Earnings history
Q4 2025
MISS
1.97 vs 2.05
Q3 2025
BEAT
1.14 vs 1.07
Q2 2025
MISS
1.94 vs 2.12
Q1 2025
MISS
0.76 vs 0.8983
Key macro factors
Inflation and Consumer Discretionary Spending: Rising inflation (US March CPI at 3.3%, Euro Area at 2.6%) and high consumer credit card debt directly impact consumers' ability and willingness to spend on discretionary items like sporting goods and outdoor recreation equipment, potentially reducing ASO's sales volume and profitability.
Oil Price Volatility and Geopolitical Instability: While recent news indicates a calming of oil markets due to a US-Iran ceasefire, previous escalations and blockades drove oil volatility. Sustained or renewed volatility in oil prices would affect ASO's supply chain and transportation costs, and could further impact consumer discretionary income. An improved oil outlook has recently contributed to analyst target increases for ASO.
Overall Economic Uncertainty and Consumer Confidence: The general uncertain macroeconomic environment, coupled with shifts in consumer demand, poses a continuous challenge for retailers like ASO. Consumer confidence influences purchasing behavior, and any downturn in economic sentiment could adversely affect sales and merchandise margins.
Academy Sports + Outdoors is one of the nation's largest sporting goods and outdoor retailers, offering a broad assortment of quality hunting, fishing, and camping equipment and gear, along with sports and leisure products, footwear, and apparel.
QUANT SCORE
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