41G1

Greggs plc

Consumer Cyclical · EUR · F

41G1

Price

€19.65

+0.17%

Cap

€1.55B

Earnings

30d Trend

+11.4%

41G1
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52-week range42%
€15.94€24.77

Lower half of range — may offer entry value

VolatilityModerate

28% annualised over 90 days

BRAIN47 SIGNAL

0
STRONG
Risk Level50
Quality70
Momentum52
Technical47
Fundamentals73

Raw weighted: 59×Macro 0.99 (1%)=58

RISK LEVEL

50/100
90d Volatility
27.7%Moderate
ATR %
3.4%High daily moves
Max Drawdown (1Y)
-27.3%Normal

QUALITY

70/100
ROE (avg)
20.4%Excellent
Piotroski F-Score
5/9Average
Debt/Equity
0.76Moderate
Margin Stability
CV 0.7%Very stable
Accruals
-14.5%Cash earnings
Interest Coverage
10.1xVery comfortable

MOMENTUM

52/100
6-1M Momentum
+1.2%Flat
1M Return
+1.1%Stable
Relative Strength
+0.5% vs sectorIn-line

TECHNICAL

47/100
RSI (14)
59.7Neutral
Price vs SMA200
+8.9%Bullish trend
MACD
-3.77Bearish momentum
Bollinger Band
64%Mid-range
SMA Cross
Death CrossDeath Cross
Trend Quality (KER)
0.025Noisy/choppy

FUNDAMENTALS

73/100
EV/EBIT
10.6Cheap
P/FCF
21.0Fair
P/S
0.7Cheap
Shareholder Yield
4.5%Moderate

Macro: neutral (×0.99) - Fear/Greed: 61 (Greed) - Data: 100%

Running historical backtest...

BRAIN47 HORIZON ANALYSIS

<3 months41
3-12 months61
1-5+ years70

Long-term compounder with 4.5% yield

BRAIN47'S ASSESSMENT

I rate Greggs plc at 58/100 — a STRONG reading on the Brain47 Signal. The strongest factor is fundamentals at 73/100. I classify this as a income position with the strongest thesis on a long-term horizon.

PAST PERFORMANCE

1 MONTH

+1.1%

3 MONTHS

+10.3%

12 MONTHS

Trailing returns — past performance, not a projection.

DETAILED ANALYSIS

Long-term compounder with 4.5% yield. Fundamentals (73) and Quality (70) are the primary strengths. Historical volatility is moderate at 28%. I classify this as an income position — the 4.5% yield combined with the dividend profile makes it suitable for income generation.

incomeScore: 58/100

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Generated by Brain47 AI. Educational research only. Not financial advice. Brain47 is not authorised by the FCA to provide investment advice.