41B

Bellway p.l.c

Consumer Cyclical · EUR · F

41B

Price

€21.48

+2.11%

Cap

€2.21B

Earnings

30d Trend

-7.5%

41B
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0 days · % change from startPowered by Brain47
52-week range4%
€20.88€35.02

Near 52-week lows — potential value or falling knife

VolatilityHigh

51% annualised over 90 days

BRAIN47 SIGNAL

0
WEAK
Risk Level76
Quality52
Momentum30
Technical33
Fundamentals78

Raw weighted: 39×Macro 0.99 (1%)=39

RISK LEVEL

76/100
90d Volatility
51.2%High
ATR %
3.6%High daily moves
Max Drawdown (1Y)
-41.4%Volatile

QUALITY

52/100
ROE (avg)
4.5%Weak
Piotroski F-Score
7/9Strong
Debt/Equity
0.14Low leverage
Margin Stability
CV 17.3%Volatile
Accruals
0.2%Accrual heavy
Interest Coverage
13.5xVery comfortable

MOMENTUM

30/100
6-1M Momentum
-29.4%Negative
1M Return
-5.2%Recent pullback
Relative Strength
-0.8% vs sectorIn-line

TECHNICAL

33/100
RSI (14)
39.0Neutral
Price vs SMA200
-26.6%Bearish trend
MACD
-7.01Bearish momentum
Bollinger Band
17%Near lower band
SMA Cross
Golden CrossGolden Cross
Trend Quality (KER)
0.213Noisy/choppy

FUNDAMENTALS

78/100
EV/EBIT
8.3Cheap
P/FCF
16.5Fair
P/S
0.8Cheap
PEG
0.53Growth at discount
Shareholder Yield
3.2%Moderate

Macro: neutral (×0.99) - Fear/Greed: 61 (Greed) - Data: 100%

Running historical backtest...

BRAIN47 HORIZON ANALYSIS

<3 months49
3-12 months24
1-5+ years59

Potential value play — but fundamentals need strengthening

BRAIN47'S ASSESSMENT

I rate Bellway p.l.c at 39/100 — a WEAK reading on the Brain47 Signal. The strongest factor is fundamentals at 78/100. I classify this as a speculative position with the strongest thesis on a long-term horizon.

PAST PERFORMANCE

1 MONTH

-5.2%

3 MONTHS

-21.6%

12 MONTHS

Trailing returns — past performance, not a projection.

DETAILED ANALYSIS

Potential value play — but fundamentals need strengthening. Fundamentals (78) and Quality (52) are the primary strengths. I note an elevated risk profile — this warrants closer monitoring. Historical volatility is elevated at 51%. I classify this as a speculative position — elevated volatility at 51% and asymmetric payoff potential define the opportunity.

speculativeScore: 39/100

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Generated by Brain47 AI. Educational research only. Not financial advice. Brain47 is not authorised by the FCA to provide investment advice.